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Reinforcement Learning for Sequential Solar PV Policy Design under Uncertainty: An Agent-Based Approach

arXiv · AI, language, vision and robotics · article · Sep 4, 2026 · UTC

Designing effective and fiscally sustainable policies for solar photovoltaic (PV) adoption requires balancing adoption gains against public expenditure under uncertainty and heterogeneous decision-making. This study formulates PV policy design as a sequential decision problem and integrates reinforcement learning (RL) with a stochastic agent-based model (ABM) that simulates yearly solar PV adoption under uncertainty. A policymaker agent selects annual incentives, including capital grants, subsidised loan rates, and feed-in tariffs, over a 16-year horizon. Adoption--cost trade-offs are explored

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