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Toward Auditable and Calibrated AI for Dementia-Related Crash Severity Prediction: A Selective Deferral Framework to Support Human Review

arXiv · AI, language, vision and robotics · article · Sep 19, 2026 · UTC

Public crash databases increasingly support automated safety analysis, but crash severity prediction remains difficult to translate into public-sector decision workflows when models are evaluated primarily as ordinary classifiers. This study reframes dementia-related crash severity modeling as a decision-aware triage problem in which a system must classify crashes into no-injury/property-damage-only (O), minor or moderate injury (BC), and fatal or severe injury (KA), while also controlling outcome leakage, reporting severe under-triage, calibrating confidence, and preserving every raw predicti

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